Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 1:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 1:48:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 1:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,114.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
10,000 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 1:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
10,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
114.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
114.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
20,041.05 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:47:35 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
10,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:48:45 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:46:24 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
114.98 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:49:55 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:45:14 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:51:06 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:44:02 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:52:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,000 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:48:11 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
114.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:48:55 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x004e001ff298a43ee6ef0aa5c786f68010686216731c84c62444b4e89cfc5b91
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:48:11 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Tx: 0x006c002f834901414590b323bb7c710ab5f93d1329fe710353e1de6367408a43
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:48:11 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4
Tx: 0x0037000dd8f83810c95a0ad0bae6b7eea52ad6cf37fc64fa05a4a9916cac71a6
