Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 1:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 1:24:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 1:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
45% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 52.5
Unexplained QUAI: 63.99
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
6
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
116.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 116 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 1:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.5 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
19.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
Net sender
Unknown type
10.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
8.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
Net sender
Unknown type
5.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
116.48 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:24:04 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:22:52 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:25:14 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:21:41 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:26:25 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:20:31 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:27:35 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:19:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19.88 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:24:02 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
10.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:24:02 A.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006f0058ea3e55ecf63e1d56dfadd644ee700518d6ca03284037b71a7ada346e
8.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:24:02 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c006e62c2c98ecf265196d95e9cec44d73beac55fb0a634b5672d4687de7f
5.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:24:02 A.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00220078f638c76484812345d05e846aa9295a53d90c8b6d2dafdd0c0f283e47
4.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:24:02 A.M.
From: 0x002421a135338777A2A26f2fb6f5ca5FEa8CA7d3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0022003a32423e047b0a079acb74cfb7033ddb0131d94c36a2c4fc5313149f3b
19.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:24:02 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00110068be084d9ec936bf7758c6626be8bab0dc2b03cac5a0ffb428b66182a5
4.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:24:02 A.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00180075820ad41fdc8ddfa9a9c5029e9b3e0dcec9d8ff905f0f7dc5a913779d