Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 1:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 1:10:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 1:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 480.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
480.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 481 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 1:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
416.99 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
107.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
103.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
103.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
Net sender
Unknown type
102.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 416.99 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
733.97 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:09:56 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:08:45 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
480.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:11:06 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
6.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:07:35 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
18.21 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:12:18 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,259.11 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:06:24 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:13:30 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:05:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
107.42 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:10:58 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
53.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:10:58 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x006b003c3fba781fcb52e1a20946d45fe03afc92587dacfa794f08beb19d3c70
103.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:10:58 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00517c8cd10712aa9a7caa581a920f98ce1fdfeeb03d333d3e530d9589ff
107.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:10:58 A.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d0006c8a6a81d494dc16ae3a82177062e7c1ab607d73382ae4d29e18b3a32
103.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:10:58 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a000cb64dbdc3f073f395acede709e7514d89648e64772ac134a478f6e5b2
102.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:10:58 A.M.
From: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059001d91f24ec3c363b2efaa4e603927bdcb5b022cd6d0e4fb2628d8255149
10.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 1:10:43 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x004d002ab75ee03f2e83b430fe50c35114ca224d9f2cc53638af4ccb6a267cd8