Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 12:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 12:57:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 12:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 281.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.5x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
281.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005C836A15e6C9B64024B6596081e2F24a93C738 • 0x0040aBf04EF414861a0Ec82749f328425167d0B6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 281 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005C836A15e6C9B64024B6596081e2F24a93C738 • 0x0040aBf04EF414861a0Ec82749f328425167d0B6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 12:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005C836A15e6C9B64024B6596081e2F24a93C738
Net sender
Unknown type
281.25 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0040aBf04EF414861a0Ec82749f328425167d0B6
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D0843d7CDb9E2A1bF916E97c010af51887e02
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0063DE4e4a6a3a8295C1c7aE00b93733f77d05e9
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
187.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:56:58 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
187.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:55:48 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
375 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:58:08 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
5,319.75 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:54:37 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
93.75 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:59:19 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 1:00:29 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
788.96 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:53:26 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
187.5 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:52:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
93.75 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:57:26 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005C836A15e6C9B64024B6596081e2F24a93C738
To: 0x0040aBf04EF414861a0Ec82749f328425167d0B6
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
93.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:57:26 A.M.
From: 0x005C836A15e6C9B64024B6596081e2F24a93C738
To: 0x0040aBf04EF414861a0Ec82749f328425167d0B6
Tx: 0x001c007ee7667cbea75e31e638bf8da2161df70329a0670bb6f5ec7e20b36d64
93.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:57:01 A.M.
From: 0x005C836A15e6C9B64024B6596081e2F24a93C738
To: 0x002D0843d7CDb9E2A1bF916E97c010af51887e02
Tx: 0x00170061b36d1cc25bc69d8c2421831fbe89f6251b5813007ce9a78c3282f914
93.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:57:01 A.M.
From: 0x005C836A15e6C9B64024B6596081e2F24a93C738
To: 0x0063DE4e4a6a3a8295C1c7aE00b93733f77d05e9
Tx: 0x006a00510ff8832697544b9d9ecc9fb80177992b11a34a17bccf711fdaa434d5