Spike bucket
08/20/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/20/2026, 12:17:00 A.M. to 08/20/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46,206.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
5.9x above local average
3.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
46,206.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe • 0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 46206 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe • 0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/20/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Net receiver
Unknown type
45,399.95 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2
Net sender
Unknown type
33,399.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007B6279C0b22f7069047484dDA6e026D9b0fbCb
Net sender
Unknown type
5,461.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00717AA1DfdA4eED17912DCCaA7C1553AC1F0a0d
Net sender
Unknown type
4,336.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c97213D8bB7f6636cB5Be790c16eC491BFa59
Net sender
Unknown type
2,202.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:16:50 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
14,468.87 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:15:39 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
46,206.2 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,711.83 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:19:11 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
14.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:14:29 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
506.25 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:20:24 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:13:18 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/20/2026, 12:12:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
33,399.65 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:17:20 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
5,461.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:17:20 A.M.
From: 0x007B6279C0b22f7069047484dDA6e026D9b0fbCb
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x0034001db2b69980bb8ce25f8852787dcae3bf9539921c8d2aaaa2a9c3b3012d
4,336.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:17:20 A.M.
From: 0x00717AA1DfdA4eED17912DCCaA7C1553AC1F0a0d
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x0015002c47ae23866914c07c1012fa09482e8572bd56f7b9b5f42c7702d83d38
2,202.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:17:20 A.M.
From: 0x004c97213D8bB7f6636cB5Be790c16eC491BFa59
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x002800671516fb15cafea5ed0d11ff196b155bfeaf9da36bf621ac89b7e2dc8b
33,399.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:17:20 A.M.
From: 0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x00290038ce5cbe86d6523295d9fb3070f350b7b17349a109aad4bb4fdfb319f4
806.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/20/2026, 12:17:20 A.M.
From: 0x005C0d00961671611CBB79a68acfaA6904868415
To: 0x006f49051d798815E68828072624e0906de9D8e8
Tx: 0x006b002985af5d1d244face939c1fa40a198b3afe0341f11ad11a24d8b6b2051