Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 11:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 11:12:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 11:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 11:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
12.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
12.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 11 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 11:12:12 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate52 tx
22,205.74 QUAI • 70 addresses
08/19/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,095.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 11:13:22 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 11:14:33 P.M.
-6 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/19/2026, 11:06:24 P.M.
-7 min
4 tx
1,908.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 11:05:11 P.M.
-8 min
57 tx
5,023.4 QUAI • 72 addresses
08/19/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
-9 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 11:02:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
12.83 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 11:12:23 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 11:12:44 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0073004bc5b48adaca85c54ee2e89bac98a1fffcd56a5d2c307c530ed532878c
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 11:12:27 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x006600622cebbbb3afbd0a36092eb9e77502d0832620f3e42362f579771c775d
12.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 11:12:23 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0016000ca31aebedaf63dc281ca74753bfc46348051377c2b3f684e4b46ecff5