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Spike bucket

08/19/2026, 10:52:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/19/2026, 10:52:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 10:53:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 16,504.26

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 725.73

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume

Relative context

4.2x above local average

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

16,504.26 QUAI

725.73 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 16504 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 08/19/2026, 10:52:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

16,504.26 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833

Net receiver

Unknown type

11,548.77 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C

Net receiver

Unknown type

4,955.48 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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2 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 4. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.