Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 8:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 8:09:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 8:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
23% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12.22
Unexplained QUAI: 41.73
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.2x previous minute
4.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
53.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 54 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 8:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
8.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
53.95 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 8:09:07 P.M.
-1 min
7 tx
287.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/19/2026, 8:07:56 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
12.22 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 8:10:18 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/19/2026, 8:06:45 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 8:11:28 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate53 tx
23,482.06 QUAI • 68 addresses
08/19/2026, 8:05:32 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 8:12:39 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
2,307.13 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/19/2026, 8:04:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8.49 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 8:09:10 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 8:09:10 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0006002802c13b5977ab3c91e3d8a248ed1642ecd7361598940e7789a1e15f2e
8.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 8:09:10 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x004f006c3610b153b1200b52acfb9d6cf1d2e4f33606c8ed523de2a751364032