Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 7:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 7:24:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 7:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,036.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 523.95
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
10
90.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
4,036.81 QUAI
523.95 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 4037 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 7:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
2,096.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,096.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,940.65 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,308.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907
Net sender
Unknown type
532.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate11 tx
4,036.81 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:24:17 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:23:05 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:25:28 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:21:54 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:20:43 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:26:39 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:19:32 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:27:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,096.16 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
1,308.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:13 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Tx: 0x0059002f1770a865bd08aeb1adaaf8d895b6f8c16c806036b12fbecbbc53f17d
2,096.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0023003bfe01342443b6762ac6e28e107a2524a9d373ca1428c9b7a0ebe5fb17
38.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002600108553426ea380823e255bcb74e516cce38804a7c28baeac999bc7ea9b
4.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0006000bd95254024396759f8fba1d371e7249080fee7f3083d8146e42118025
3.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006b0030369b22e56a28ec30061d5e022524bc11e803685341e6d3ecdffe7bdd
25.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0066001a5391bab1fddd071789e1a06a8a697adf025f5c40d7e0a5e18ec4c717
532.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x003e34a3389536A2A357F78F98988a043E2Dd907
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00580032c81c6fe1f0ec068d007e0687c6ea5069c3a754ec08cd1a44e646fbb2
11.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0067002bf38cec4efe02a71a4b8de7a4ee97b7a6ceadb8ef9724af4cb3765f83
6.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001a005464a70a26a01e8408edc91e8bd7191bfb6453239a4c5ed5a26c8e9679
7.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:24:04 P.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0009006438f7acfff6002ced1607a52c03085bfb6e3096ff589926f927d51d4a
