Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 7:11:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 7:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,482.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 535.77
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
0 QUAI
535.77 QI
Avg confidence
65.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,272.96 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
Net sender
Unknown type
5,699.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
535.77 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
535.77 QI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
258.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,272.96 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:11:15 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:10:04 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
6,482.57 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:12:26 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:08:53 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
5,700 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:07:43 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:13:39 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
12.13 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:06:32 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate8 tx
22,989.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:14:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,699.35 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:16 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:37 P.M.
From: 0x00004527FE31aBEf90b57402fC00A3e3d79F9Fec
To: 0x00313159111957eC0cd088C95deB67A09F85AAAE
Tx: 0x0055001ebdbf4998c119cb7a2930707be02f03eb11edff05abe5769eb63f78e2
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:37 P.M.
From: 0x00004527FE31aBEf90b57402fC00A3e3d79F9Fec
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x002200575d3836faaa2d1af7d1c72412b3590ac3412b50e0c8f08790f3e97da3
99.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062001d0a879d2e9d0f852bbd2150ed1f800e50e3c113905dcd26c59a5ff7d0
105.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x00328109A23E368e65569034d3143E68eF99f8eD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c003fd4985203b7e70d413554f860523dd59eee5cd60360496e9ef4d5d1d2
258.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e005cccc86bb31f77b15f69bf579ba2c94b6c4cd13672211847335f459124
109.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065001a562eb1ba8e940bf9ec0569f4bdaf1c6e92b03ee0f18ac3c18fef6e12
7.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x00690017ff6330d5f3f6a38d58674e45a0611d74c3487ed87b128b8a71f43a03
5,699.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x0045CfbfCD84FbE5b6Af098bD6a08c1aa3d265E7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f004860841d01d1cec92a725c0be4eae96055ef46181630b127696fad8454
535.77 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:11:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00480054c2e44e4f9c431a52015370f947cd83a5633dd93e2c0c8bcf744aeff9
