Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 6:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 6:44:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 6:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,909.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 572.54
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
572.54 QI
Avg confidence
66.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 6:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,438.09 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
Net sender
Unknown type
5,026.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
Net sender
Unknown type
2,411.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,471.22 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
572.54 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,438.09 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:44:02 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:42:51 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
8,909.3 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:45:13 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
5,027.27 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:41:40 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:46:24 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:40:27 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:47:34 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:39:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,026.57 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:44:08 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
572.54 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:44:17 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004000773707d7fc5c648392825e8f504643c2d64b866885a6e1d6bbc73dcc64
5,026.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:44:08 P.M.
From: 0x0038f0Ff6c565Fab30980Cc223016D65Fb0d8dCa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042002739a18ec8e452f36c6c4e5c1c73032e60d386a79f31e97d153dff081b
2,411.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:44:08 P.M.
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d006f1555c948e672259c9ed19654f8309d2e6eddaec688e36038381861c0
327.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:44:08 P.M.
From: 0x005932F0Aa56b0e9e5CA410b7bEa0876405944cD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0063002ca482bf3678a54c3b747c06917e689a145d547d2a27897ea5ffef67a1
374 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:44:08 P.M.
From: 0x0057a298208eBDFBd4a3363E4e4b69fA29650F00
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004a007919d5a4b9c76aeaafe93a7224c8d4c49dad09430c1a45ffadd607e21e
267.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:44:08 P.M.
From: 0x0076F496e048490c612E940bF78E3Af8BEE0d10c
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0055003687af373a3cb2b2d0dbe66104aeaf6aea68af358e9b803ee22e479eb1
502.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:44:08 P.M.
From: 0x00224616EC3f3b56f030eC046b35694994306F53
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007c004a8405aab44e6819606a246cd12d116e2c435fe06aa37dd063f41ede39