Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 6:07:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,279.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 1,109.19
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 78% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
1,109.19 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 6:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,100.69 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,342.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
Net sender
Unknown type
193.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
179.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x12595373006F118392d147759cb18008Fa7ced75
Net receiver
Unknown type
179.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,100.69 QUAI
From exchange: 179.01 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:07:20 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate62 tx
10,288.97 QUAI • 75 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:06:08 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:04:58 P.M.
+2 min
10 tx
4,279.7 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:08:31 P.M.
-3 min
54 tx
1,630.93 QUAI • 73 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:03:46 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
598.57 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:09:44 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
202 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:10:55 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/19/2026, 6:12:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,342.47 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
3,342.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0066002365d94e990a4ea39ff08fef99a8165ea8fc60c0fb4264005a2d8318cd
100.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0011006ac74eb9dc9690f085ab2aa84dcc6b59104a3b2045f25922616910e337
125.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b004e7b83a1def1e8ae89cd6558ec958f14182d5eac4dee4753980ec3fa75
193.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
From: 0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f000d131ee15b8147f5a0d088664c0e3677d275c038385914ed805f84915c
111.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0004c36fa1226c07fa98e61a6b0cb903bd1b2f1928288fd317e7106160b7
106.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048001ba9ceffdfb59df35f845da44ba462eb93ed878a99bb9c53eb25078679
121.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c006f6c8247f4ed81f009436423084d8d7459181a45e814ed57aaf76b03de
179.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x12595373006F118392d147759cb18008Fa7ced75
Tx: 0x0016001d3591240f10c6c0c2261365abfb5eadbc88ec502ef9e93805f8d2c38d