Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 5:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 5:33:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 5:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,022,987.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
406x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
40,929.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 40929 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 5:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
3,999,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,999,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
17,966.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004af1688627aD0Ca70c6221f207C59128E1954E
Net receiver
Unknown type
17,966.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 3,999,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
40,929.32 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:33:08 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
100.79 QUAI • 2 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:31:57 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
4,000,020.99 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:34:19 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:30:47 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:29:36 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:35:30 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:36:40 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:28:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,999,996 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:33:17 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
17.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:33:46 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00110002aec5b07e5499c9d19ec7f67f6c0de3b269bb8bb9f52e4bcccaf554dd
7.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:33:46 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0055001f6db895383154812ab27759adade4a03e39a3268c56e98f96f2cbd19b
3,999,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:33:17 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
Tx: 0x0062003097d66b1a3cd6b5fe62b3e9d8d9db734227ab2a00c72451592e792a1e
17,966.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:33:04 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004af1688627aD0Ca70c6221f207C59128E1954E
Tx: 0x001b001be0e5facbf59789deb68758336e137df0211365e86770ee7838cc423b
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:33:04 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x00010066f4ef7b4dcb588d1538475018735df39c5681501bcf03d99cdf3c117c