Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 5:07:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
14.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
14.64 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
14.64 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:07:11 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,732.17 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:06:00 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,114.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:08:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:04:47 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
683.05 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:03:36 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:09:32 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
21.91 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:10:42 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:02:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7.57 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:06 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
7.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0067003a37b4d4284228e7e1e6e31fea351e16deed45fdf0d4063266c8b9f5c0
7.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568
Tx: 0x002600366a0175dba2f6bb0c0aee02065b7a01fcceefd03a5136df099042152d