Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 65.98
Unexplained QUAI: 23,487.34
Explained QI: 1,092.21
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
357x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
30
Observable rows
5
16.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
42
Asset volume
23,553.31 QUAI
1,092.21 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 23553 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,092.22 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,092.22 QI across 2 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
54.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
11.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 1,092.21 QI
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 11.34 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
30 tx
23,553.31 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:25:07 P.M.
-1 min
38 tx
45,586.72 QUAI • 51 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:23:53 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
65.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:26:20 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate29 tx
438,313.2 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:22:40 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:27:30 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:21:29 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:28:41 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:20:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
546.1 QI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
QI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
54.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:25:48 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0079bAa99FEEC7f84A55F47cC3996D8e8B6797d1
Tx: 0x00450049ff4c09fde2b62074de3bf6f17be8077023ab50d527da4cb9649173b9
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:25:48 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005b000a13b753fd1f37bce89126055132d8dd479580c9aaf8d179c5bf974272
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:25:48 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00040065e816d8461d152112af3b6ec010f9e7adf659087205a909ea374a8212
546.1 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001800102955e9d2d935d76328bf9bf9fa0225f9fcf14b7c53c02e16c1b6c372
546.1 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:25:13 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0065003ce9970dbf5518a3256fae53efc7fb2e21947dc9e5cd47970058e84ee6
