Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 3:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 3:08:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 3:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,814.58
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1,155.42
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
7.1x above local average
507x previous minute
5460x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
20,810.76 QUAI
1,155.42 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20811 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 3:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,155.43 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,155.43 QI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
811.57 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 1,155.42 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 811.57 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
20,810.76 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:08:27 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
41.07 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:07:14 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,648.29 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:06:03 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
3.81 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:09:39 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
63.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:04:51 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:10:49 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
1,032.36 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:03:40 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:12:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:16 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
577.68 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:49 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0029006f44eb3f4a53de5c4d1968cbbc50b14a3115a8d746e1f8f3221865b82d
3.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:45 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x00420001da4abb1a5262d56b250fece0177f9ae752d89ccef2626295f6955cc5
577.74 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:39 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007b0040a6245223af3d9cce735c05348a9ccf5bdf1279a888855089ac7f676c
198.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x0070FFC5a5fa1F3Aeafda53E8AD8dD0BC75da8AA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007000402924d52c4d522fb9adaed9e9c984abdf827e4aabfdf180d26789c85f
147.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00500021c0d39ca50844685139e0bc246bb30b2d58bae494696980f6aa8432a6
103.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001800740800d0ec41679e9ef04e2c6630735beffb0f2a28940a04fed5501169
101.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0075003222db805b0aa07e3499ead1a5f54d18926978e000d2014b0e637fe141
142.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a007fcb10f7677d4d20d863620ff693a463667823ae2944644e8dbc8b12c7
118.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a003f2ab1e31eb8492943066d03e35283faa0d1d1f62852079fead29b5c42
19,999.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:08:16 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00270035f3583a7f1817cd874ae3d8aec4631fc263637c96ff0845708571c638