Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 2:14:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 2:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,838.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
7.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
1,838.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1839 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,838.69 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,003.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
452.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
Net sender
Unknown type
152.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
119.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,838.69 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
14 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:13:54 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:12:44 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,838.69 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:15:07 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
6.44 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:11:33 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:16:20 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:10:23 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:17:31 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
36.3 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:09:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,003.26 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:14:28 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
111.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:14:28 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062004ec17ec4353fbe22f7ed335f50d46c4010d5642453995fc299c1477783
452.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:14:28 P.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0055006fa258c6d584be38cb336a755861f4a97f2d227ea27ac88c24340cb5e2
119.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:14:28 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003004043db508e6438c0696e6d82d2961115d167a3a0cf2200bd0830c8e83e
152.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:14:28 P.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006700435cbb366803c359f64e6ef28af3ed48bed185cec41bb8ad606c5f5352
1,003.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:14:28 P.M.
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00590043dddedb13dcabd0e083602100ad08721481dcdf890310ed80b6b6b0f4