Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 1:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 1:30:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 1:31:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,000
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 561.78
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
561.78 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c • 0x00222A75E898E43D2EC8104Fe76f30053e8Db116.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c • 0x00222A75E898E43D2EC8104Fe76f30053e8Db116.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 1:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
Net sender
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00222A75E898E43D2EC8104Fe76f30053e8Db116
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
561.78 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
561.78 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:30:03 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:28:52 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
20,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:31:14 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
143,889 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:27:42 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:32:27 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
9.65 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:26:31 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
143,887.65 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:33:38 P.M.
-5 min
9 tx
81.26 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:25:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,000 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:30:28 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x00222A75E898E43D2EC8104Fe76f30053e8Db116
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
20,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:30:28 P.M.
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x00222A75E898E43D2EC8104Fe76f30053e8Db116
Tx: 0x0047002ac3f7f4528bd085947c5120a41a7e7abcca6d9a8099ade7a19684b7b7
561.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:30:23 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005b003489a7f035b585bb6043825a13a0e35c184c4af8e401643b8ce7ca6d25