Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 1:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 1:25:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
11% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8.65
Unexplained QUAI: 72.61
Explained QI: 1,116.79
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
8.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
3
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
81.26 QUAI
1,116.79 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 81 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 1:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (89% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (11%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,116.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,116.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x004691C6b78AeB7340eaE8BECefC6A2F6fd805dA
Net sender
Unknown type
8.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 1,116.79 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
81.26 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:25:20 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:24:08 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:22:58 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
9.65 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:26:31 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
10 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:21:47 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
143,889 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:27:42 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:20:33 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:28:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
558.87 QI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:25:21 P.M.
QI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
8.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:25:34 P.M.
From: 0x004691C6b78AeB7340eaE8BECefC6A2F6fd805dA
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006a006f9e657bfbd886a89994edf57fb03521cd6828554aa1b265f905cd6ea9
558.87 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:25:21 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00610012eafb53b97b1dafb5b4bad76f063fb6439f393e0967db22d7b4cd1b47
557.92 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:25:07 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007f001ad6f4da2914ccddef9c63e8fba9b6729ddf81ccc430f8ab6fea83dbdb
