Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 1:06:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 1:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,321.82
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2,238.91
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
7.1x above local average
15x previous minute
65x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
20,068.51 QUAI
2,238.91 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20069 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
2,238.92 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,620.39 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
618.52 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 1,620.39 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
20,068.51 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:06:20 P.M.
-1 min
46 tx
1,358.63 QUAI • 54 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:05:08 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
854.35 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:03:57 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
306.77 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:07:31 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:02:45 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:08:42 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:01:33 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 1:09:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.17 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:16 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
553.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:54 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004300159cca069d46c9ffa0fb61d2265e0e8a35f24c99d2f09736fed45003a0
306.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:37 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x0042C8A57f91A5D544e30a3a12d0061f18AaFbd9
Tx: 0x002700620b1e1a550fb6dab0c5c8cfdd3301c7651369e7344f8c8e8f56a5c45f
618.52 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x00220030e7cfeb653ec60619d1437208d640d24e1557b5179d48402b551aa280
515.45 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000e0056279cf3a2acc5aab57a164b2a68897e6a30ff5a0daea060049c052400
19,999.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:16 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00300015955012ba372e67ddcbbd4cf5cc041960ca9249390c1fb7086f6004b8
10.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:16 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x006800035faf9fff9bf15d012561104c8fa2a8d1a1730f6ad967af640f86f0eb
5.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:16 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x007e007810692615eb9b28402557758030e0c44835c86886ed968abcd804908e
551.64 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 1:06:04 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0018002f10f41c31f93f9e34f3ff689be0ad24e86224018984a162e88c950765