Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 12:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 12:13:00 P.M. to 08/19/2026, 12:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,188.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1,662.53
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
1,188.66 QUAI
1,662.53 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1189 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 12:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,662.53 QI across 3 visible rows
0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693
Net sender
Unknown type
1,167.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,167.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,052.83 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
609.7 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 1,052.83 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
12,601 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:12:55 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:11:44 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
1,188.66 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:14:06 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:10:33 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
0.08 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:15:17 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
2,229.04 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:16:27 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
12,570.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:09:22 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
208.04 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:08:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,167.3 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:07 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693
To: 0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
3.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:52 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x004a00351a76b58e1749154aee8cbeebd65098ba17e65d08ff3651ef4e575aa2
3.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:52 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0001007de91d42728eabe2107a221e54c9175e0fc33acb8ba76dfa080ed9d3f2
3.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:52 P.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001100709830dc00f88b9d07ccf1fd6b9e5e0181c7445d5d5e9d475e951ddc6a
8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:52 P.M.
From: 0x002bAD140049fD35eE915C5540E126A8292167Af
To: 0x0004d66A85A028a611f834A6aa2a564bf201C0Df
Tx: 0x0043004576a6b7ad913c2e3ac988fea109e55297b4d2087d4e1242cee6c1e10e
3.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:52 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004a00457d4cd84e63d372aa644722562e99dc7a1297bd0a05abd897171cef87
544.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007b004d749fdfce7e6c3c14684875d949c380b6136dce4799d118062ab2270d
609.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0013007bf176740785abfdf52ca74cf01e9f0e2d2dda2d0185567065a6991bf2
508.12 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003c0056098c8f14bf2c2b4a6789e51a0225d0d3ff889b4a792d9f49bbbbe53d
1,167.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:13:07 P.M.
From: 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693
To: 0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855
Tx: 0x002100081bada278004888bef00474d7847e914c88660af13cb3d1819f062dde