Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 7:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 7:38:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 7:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,177.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 632.45
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
4,177.28 QUAI
632.45 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4177 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 7:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,177.28 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
2,844.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,333.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
632.45 QI across 1 visible row
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
632.45 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,177.28 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:37:36 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
4,177.28 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:38:46 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:36:26 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:39:59 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
19,999.11 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:35:15 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:41:09 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:34:05 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 7:42:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,844.25 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:38:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
632.45 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:38:47 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x001300087764ce4ae8eafbbfa66de4f32b404be8413ae5ffdbbb7cd1708ae191
1,333.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0038006674256534cc702d00854df8fb716a3956cf39dd133876a1ee5bb65d6e
2,844.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 7:38:02 A.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004600358558168f8d12bb2480aa15483213990e75aa1effd108f6f88d733730