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Spike bucket

08/19/2026, 5:43:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/19/2026, 5:43:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 5:44:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

75% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 6,033.9

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 1,681.48

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume

Relative context

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

0 QUAI

1,681.48 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 0 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 08/19/2026, 5:43:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

6,032.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F

Net sender

Unknown type

4,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670

Net sender

Unknown type

1,033.7 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa

Net sender

Unknown type

1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

StratumX miner

Net receiver

Miner wallet

1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 6,032.9 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 4. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.