Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 5:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 5:07:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 5:08:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
75% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,151.74
Unexplained QUAI: 1,681.39
Explained QI: 905.07
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
7.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
10
47.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
6,833.13 QUAI
905.07 QI
Avg confidence
71.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 6833 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 5:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4
Net sender
Unknown type
4,998.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,998.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
908.07 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
517.2 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
390.87 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 387.86 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:06:31 A.M.
+1 min
21 tx
6,833.13 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:07:41 A.M.
-2 min
37 tx
979.56 QUAI • 48 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:05:20 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate13 tx
7,955.24 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:08:54 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,032.46 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:04:09 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
5.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:10:05 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:02:57 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/19/2026, 5:11:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,998.34 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
6.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:57 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x003d0077d382ef3b2ad39f28165ecb78aab30e1c367c6dbfc9cde85e08f4c098
12.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:57 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x000e00791479a359d3239e02b1fc4cd70440430bfc25fda35a6b659c1bd88f19
4.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:57 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x00020019f85687c1f54887053c5af8a480d7e97e4589d31b73024f11f28bac7f
116.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:57 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
Tx: 0x004200167507c7e00cb719d389486b296cdb5511f6fe95b9fa0a8d6ca7274a1d
4.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:57 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003bbCc29471E647B17434D683F1386810765f4c
Tx: 0x005d006616461cd27faf10d3974024a6da89fa1f3026ac2d888f6bd715836bf4
8.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:57 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0021006ba8420ccd1f99284c043a08f31b42b506ae31b68b0b91bd6547ae469a
4,998.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:12 A.M.
From: 0x00153B8570b577Db9F83a4E206f8b8408825Cae4
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000b0048ba9087547fc0248b2ce31435871d76de015e4da4ba996a309f559a69
517.2 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:02 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0014007a833dd622c0874ba9f01eaaab82d4b3388e1fc3d1eb7370d018de64ea
387.86 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:02 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0014007b268d0d4c6a7f6b80ee64c6fdf602526cabb7860b70ce9091294ad7ee
3 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 5:07:02 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0042003160183e850c20217526c3778e97eb4ff5ca33bfbfa464a321d2776758
