Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 4:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 4:31:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 4:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,003.95
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 815.92
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
0 QUAI
815.92 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 4:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,753.95 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
19,436.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,317.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
1,250 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0038A76885c48e7DB846F9205b8bc1f82940ed2A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,250 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,753.95 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/19/2026, 4:31:06 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
19,437.56 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/19/2026, 4:29:55 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
22,003.95 QUAI • 5 addresses
08/19/2026, 4:32:16 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/19/2026, 4:28:44 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 4:33:27 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
1,318.1 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 4:27:32 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
5,206.18 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/19/2026, 4:34:37 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/19/2026, 4:26:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,436.7 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 4:31:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
19,436.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 4:31:49 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057000a340f15e8543cbf710920066b663b8923c123b1f56a7def550da84b31
1,317.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 4:31:49 A.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b002ae4a90686965f8b32cdccd09aa2af276fcbd5af8320e4ef5bf0d4a83d
1,250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 4:31:18 A.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x002357B0DFC6C36a339b725BE72BE039A8136B26
Miner wallet
To: 0x0038A76885c48e7DB846F9205b8bc1f82940ed2A
Tx: 0x0029001fe4138fab2d3fd16d7af7d78e8061d3e8024f5dc050aa6069db8a3800