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Spike bucket

08/19/2026, 3:59:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/19/2026, 3:59:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 4:00:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1,256.17
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
1,256.17 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 3:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,256.18 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,256.18 QI across 3 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 1,256.17 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.08 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:59:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
430.47 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:59:58 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0070007ba39b07f4461bca99fb3b81a434f7b542d43bf6e94f29e9401753791d
19,999.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:59:30 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00020048e6fb3c62758886cbd9f0680acbf2ea65e10b530a7c8081e584c6c8e5
Open txWallet profile
412.85 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:59:21 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0061005a0881efe61f16f017c97f19a96808aa608d501921b1267bd9b05d86ee
412.85 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:59:21 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000e005719ab05bd87855883e6e01981f1ea70d50852da4d0c6bb339174f34e6