Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 3:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 3:23:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 3:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 211,863.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 860.75
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
11
91.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
2,213.6 QUAI
860.75 QI
Avg confidence
67.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007f0e78a16ae482842a97c5B00Ed1DFCf8D22b9 • 0x0067B7484443221e06CD9e38a71fae2cd9Aaf1B4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 2214 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007f0e78a16ae482842a97c5B00Ed1DFCf8D22b9 • 0x0067B7484443221e06CD9e38a71fae2cd9Aaf1B4.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 3:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007f0e78a16ae482842a97c5B00Ed1DFCf8D22b9
Net receiver
Unknown type
211,780 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0067B7484443221e06CD9e38a71fae2cd9Aaf1B4
Net sender
Unknown type
209,650 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005ED240582DEa113652B17986fDd9E76DC50B24
Net sender
Unknown type
2,130 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
860.76 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
860.76 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 860.75 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:22:38 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
2,213.6 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:23:49 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:21:27 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
209,650 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:25:01 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:20:16 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:26:12 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:19:06 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:27:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
209,650 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0067B7484443221e06CD9e38a71fae2cd9Aaf1B4
To: 0x007f0e78a16ae482842a97c5B00Ed1DFCf8D22b9
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
209,650 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:55 A.M.
From: 0x0067B7484443221e06CD9e38a71fae2cd9Aaf1B4
To: 0x007f0e78a16ae482842a97c5B00Ed1DFCf8D22b9
Tx: 0x00430040b702cde20518f76d0e9af933560036dccec36b0c0f008ce00e477fe9
2,130 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:38 A.M.
From: 0x005ED240582DEa113652B17986fDd9E76DC50B24
To: 0x007f0e78a16ae482842a97c5B00Ed1DFCf8D22b9
Tx: 0x0028001249d646ea12d44afebdfba7e65750c3fa9f5d8f1a22d78ebd33f38aee
430.37 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006b006229e4ff4b10017af39eeb002516cd550c93ac3f335008ba4df8c1cbd7
430.37 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00630022312dffc569bd9698f92a545094666ac265ff09c14f9f697ec8a50ce7
3.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:29 A.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000a0060ef7ce75da5201fe52389b6b9b4bde4fe81125d035dfba252bdd19c51
5.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:29 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e0049d88b6d812b89c7d45c760abf1d005d3365aa4660ebda6f1d576f6637
0.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:29 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003800417ce89adbc5cc70035bfeaaa0ca5bf0b63eea5972ef761fe9383462d1
2.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:13 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002700364b18238c67993a6866c4b6c528a11b5aebe210e96296d4ef943b1f20
6.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:13 A.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002b0044d0cc0eca29bc5c8ea6be6ac05dc1262ed24ea05f4f8a9c3e2f8c9158
14.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:13 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002a003d1954e06ef9c32f8d505391a46de18f37274305b12da3f4334e95334c
50.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:23:13 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e0077a4b5b9d49942e6bb049a285ad318631cb042eaf8e8cc38a7bcde7ab0