Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 3:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 3:10:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 3:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,775.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1,856.37
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
1,856.37 QI
Avg confidence
75.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 3:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,775.85 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8
Net sender
Unknown type
2,599.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,856.38 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,295.75 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00434CB1c51Cf580eE05e9e09B228f66cDeA2EB2
Net sender
Unknown type
819.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 1,295.75 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,775.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
11.5 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:09:29 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:10:40 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:08:19 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
1,718.46 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:07:08 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
300 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:13:10 A.M.
-4 min
55 tx
2,323.25 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:05:56 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
751.89 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:14:23 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate4 tx
2,600 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:04:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,599.07 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:49 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
2,599.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:49 A.M.
From: 0x00038C714ec5d5d0EA8e6615c1e24Ce3d53de5D8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b002a860b6ab9c0dcfcfce4bd66ed7e7af9eda4b083c3b39096697a9c910f
100.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:49 A.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b007ee9f5cc64e638c2937089307c90e2a1be5fefef9f44b2e200314151e1
819.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:49 A.M.
From: 0x00434CB1c51Cf580eE05e9e09B228f66cDeA2EB2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000900174f80ff65b8bfa2cd227d53854bffdcd347db95e7f426c1489fb6f21e
118.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:49 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00260070bfac39336e5c69190a670e2af68cbf25d2fac9d3613f82890f77c47e
139.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:49 A.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000200640730e742e48e1ec4187b9c3412f24e92ba43e236973756d522e5ba5c
560.62 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:37 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0076005da45f5318ce0acf362e4f2f19288b8de0d05250c16aac821e0900b531
420.39 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:37 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0048007ebc92655d41cf38891d528b239f07c2563d42e3c8c7f80c61635a4e2e
437.68 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:10 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00360030cc7ef1643f289bfc958b90f3b7e538d3117b87973bde9e312179104c
437.68 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:10:10 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e00603b70371da191645c541daf2e029c37b045daf220e2cf431c01bde0ff