Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 3:08:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
51% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 871.87
Unexplained QUAI: 846.6
Explained QI: 1,489.87
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.7x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
9
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
1,718.46 QUAI
1,489.87 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1718 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,489.88 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
877.92 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
868.73 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B
Net receiver
Unknown type
809.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
611.96 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 877.92 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
1,718.46 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:07:08 A.M.
-1 min
55 tx
2,323.25 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:05:56 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:08:19 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
2,600 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:04:45 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
11.5 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:09:29 A.M.
-3 min
63 tx
11,392.94 QUAI • 76 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:03:34 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:10:40 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate7 tx
13,952.25 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/19/2026, 3:02:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
809.89 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
438.96 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:58 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000a00397fe15c98c937c4121dab9450a30d938a8eedd6b4c757b371dddd58ae
438.96 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:58 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e001928135a6cbc8410c381553b9f277df7b6c38921d7181661dc31e845ae
611.95 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:02 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0053003e8785e570d5b125a3f73577322d5be0d62b69662acbd2a3ab7f4a2caa
10.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0054007b9feb340e3ed6270c4e713dbbe7d757eca6a5b2ef498a652a225fbc30
5.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x0026003d9f0d63106b935ba6a228250d51d85cfbdbdd5adc3ece54f14784c367
36.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x0020003f1474d6f700e22f739824694f6fbbf3473d5e602b88ed88b405d094b2
6.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0020000de6ef16f8158f63b112956fb75381ebadae1c911a56454ff81d7eea3a
809.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B
Tx: 0x006c0039ccc1542586d092a7e4478f21f08d4bae0c7e41091262e956975f4a47
3.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x005b002830224e63ed6972430971d376d2eec7258da97c88d58cd38bdf2fc2e3