Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 2:42:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18,363.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 478.47
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
6,046.42 QUAI
478.47 QI
Avg confidence
64.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 6046 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
Net sender
Unknown type
9,560.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,560.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,602.43 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,200.24 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,942.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
6,046.42 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:42:11 A.M.
-1 min
17 tx
18,936.92 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
17,259.43 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:43:22 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
17,087.87 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:39:47 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
10,211.64 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:38:35 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate43 tx
41,686.75 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:44:34 A.M.
+4 min
19 tx
9,843.1 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:45:46 A.M.
-5 min
23 tx
24,546.13 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:37:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,560.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
687.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x0046005f8eb1588fb2231320832a038b0cf437cba6d927d0f0d0180cdd725085
1,369.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Tx: 0x002d002feea45e62f66d385496c37aa91458aa76da8c2af1488c2f8ee5e44c57
693.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x0052006a2cfa1eff6e6402406de17abee2be3816632e42b00d84da692ec6baaf
1,097 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x00690076e4c91da190ab05a93f5c9bbb447c30d877cd077184e6af4955bcad6d
478.47 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:31 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0016007c63909919979eb0bbca561be0cff6eaaa5838bf323b2840280e2ef926
1,942.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x0003006561c82889dcdab0bda130d32db0340078f2670e52fa01d95442cd9ef7
1,025.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
Tx: 0x00270037408008e3d6c2422c5c285d0199db19e4c55dab6a1692f8735e514cab
713.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x0012004e8901060cfe15ff59ce9b7fdc7e8e458ca3835239f2b21527f627768e
170.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006200b5Bf4f35f2d793382eC2AFF48a2895a5A7
Tx: 0x003e006b1d0350213c621479a65907431f3ab20bbe7c4c2655f96d9fc912ea6d
9,560.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
From: 0x004D3C2c7B817dE5775997f9f8953609cF2E45cF
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0061004f1031cf9d9e87ca2abfc05e264e3ec8e1f30d66ffc40bbb4edc39367d
706.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Tx: 0x0000007c6f978866d02760c8af0a7d1cc0e0520edad3ebbefcc260dac7aa0654
396.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:42:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d1b468555E32cc3299406451d0393631aE482
Tx: 0x007400440eda82cde4e3346a0943b15923357c52b06f3cbe55a65f7643171375
