Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 2:41:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
26% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,942.82
Unexplained QUAI: 13,994.1
Explained QI: 1,001.03
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.1x previous minute
3.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
10
58.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
18,936.92 QUAI
1,001.03 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 18937 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,221.25 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,721.57 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,350.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,001.04 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006A1a3518e6DB5eBCe9b6B3584895E48De864af
Net receiver
Unknown type
995.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
18,936.92 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
17,087.87 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:39:47 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
6,046.42 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:42:11 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
10,211.64 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:38:35 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
17,259.43 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:43:22 A.M.
-4 min
23 tx
24,546.13 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:37:23 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate43 tx
41,686.75 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:44:34 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
3,373.52 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:36:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,350.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
572.06 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0047004685b32dc5fac49780f619b702912b37070e6a115d0be69468b00f1c54
428.96 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:55 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0051000ea13b35f4e78bfd82549d9334ba0ad8480e8406f25b8d1720aea327be
728.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0
Tx: 0x001d0074cd2a81c3c21d014a3117f69b2ac6638062ed9c84133fd02b92ef4083
351.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0061625f72324047381d519e80cd4054FE1F2b8f
Tx: 0x002d005254b6869cf15385043a5df46fff7d5c23ba0f7499fb766e42a482163f
598.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0060bA5516E993449827998B966326d53DF3BA4D
Tx: 0x00340008f5ddc90afd864027f2e70d2a0715abfeb3ff97b0db1d643334deb92c
1,350.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
Tx: 0x0079007dab41e8743d6d75aac15315e0ece255abd86cb127bae66423fcb1874b
995.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006A1a3518e6DB5eBCe9b6B3584895E48De864af
Tx: 0x0045001adb3665625a0e639996bcff40e00bc459a5dc3c59bb22f765345dc99f
376.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x003f00650b13a64fc4f9627ef1236ba1dd3c21755f70d01c8e21220425c94967
395.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x0032002cf604fad3e7e2dda921a41f15b40e3593dcd6ffa8324b893abcb863a1
146.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:41:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00687D48F1d1aD2cAE9C437eaDEc9ba7497094c7
Tx: 0x002300434def293f831e5cfa59079e2c98c55ac6b2b6a93003601e9c899e9ffc