Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
62% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,497.21
Unexplained QUAI: 2,717.39
Explained QI: 1,492.05
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
16
94.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
7,214.6 QUAI
1,492.05 QI
Avg confidence
67.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 7215 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,101.52 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,691.86 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,492.05 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,406.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
917.27 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 917.26 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate64 tx
49,527.13 QUAI • 76 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:26:34 A.M.
+1 min
17 tx
7,214.6 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:27:48 A.M.
-2 min
19 tx
9,959.09 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:25:22 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
4,713.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
-3 min
32 tx
19,426.45 QUAI • 44 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:24:10 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
5,469.36 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:30:13 A.M.
-4 min
20 tx
13,382.98 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:22:58 A.M.
+4 min
19 tx
16,293.81 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:31:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,406.03 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
All transfers in this selected minute
16 transactions
159.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:56 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007A4d520a7eCDe384f6F3FCA494EFDB16DA54C5
Tx: 0x00060038347dbb7f09ba1d098aa0e001b904d851c07f8c788f757b1ef20a4aaf
679.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Tx: 0x00100011dfbe17f77f714d4160ff4e719c7e384f78b464e399cf820a3d615329
141.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
Tx: 0x0044002601b505d44239f0d7e528e1db4c9303e392dc511b80c5f2d22b8167b9
486.09 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:46 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00750016ea664dbe47e4a5b55aac20016d440701304e9f7e068385240aa96fa9
257.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x001d0013bcdb04bb26348019f44687a57640c8a872159f99cac95bc5f94814c2
323.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
Tx: 0x006d001912606944b756471a6760c5d2313638fef47f52746398032bdd6784d5
199.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:39 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00797Ef1Ef4f80d60E64E0D62c73e22789EA4355
Tx: 0x0005004cde4e6052d22c8556e2da8eca00483adc85f7ad2a71700df12ede6a55
574.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:29 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0062003617e3ebc788a75425dbfe31147aee89f56345162f11138502eb1406d0
431.17 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:29 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006a00656e69e0986fc71e17e362b5e67b3fc98438ca5fd5804bae43e1e33122
1,406.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Tx: 0x002b00511a6da29121ae8748d6acfddcce748f1956237e500e7cc57e6fe62e1b
178.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077ee0d516382b2BBBc67A7c29C929fa8BE8B3E
Tx: 0x004d006e99fc94937d88edc5737cfa268dc477f54bc02c493f5db1d6c361ffbf
549.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004076e55e4c01e4866EE0a79cc5937A0Dc726A5
Tx: 0x001000475abc6dce35e744832a33c621d5cfc6cce1ce83c0268f10552c3e6444
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0059001ca634fae21f9410b34e7e22465fa6769414ba3f154767b0e86751dc61
295.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x0044007ebf4fc29cb450784f545dd688050b67283cdc51ebc9d3176aa0bb303a
139.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x004b002e3162c7760fbebdf387de1ee0c669d629de65869377d623306d60915b
165.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:27:10 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077d5238617c3d334f4519263B4ae0F936A43d4
Tx: 0x0015000393ee6c83017cf873301573172492beb93189ebdc9f22afeb19cf5fa8
