Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,440.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 911.08
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
2,292.71 QUAI
911.08 QI
Avg confidence
67.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 2293 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,932.32 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,155.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
911.08 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
911.08 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
845.91 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 911.08 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
2,292.71 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:19:24 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate41 tx
172,442.65 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:18:10 A.M.
-2 min
22 tx
18,572.78 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:16:57 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
3,955.05 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:20:35 A.M.
-3 min
17 tx
10,619.97 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:15:46 A.M.
+3 min
20 tx
8,089.4 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:21:46 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
148,861.85 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:14:34 A.M.
+4 min
20 tx
13,382.98 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/19/2026, 2:22:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,155.91 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
556.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Tx: 0x005e001fd0841eebed3d0b62219e801bfc3c076a150bd337390fd03ef1d78693
200.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0021B171e383D2fE95dF2642Fc4B3d707b9540e1
Tx: 0x006b002ffadf613693297dbae4709034cd6381e112e3a20814247d05f130f6c9
266.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:53 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x0010002951856c906cbdd91ab5e27257fe97022d06d0c65a1baabd655f6eaa01
455.54 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:51 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000600133bd1c31a62c727f9d6cb135fb255544166767e7221dfdc2e19059279
455.54 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:51 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00700002bb659c7072c0d18910fe8cb33efed29d6d1ed104c226ec4ad7edcea1
473.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00273ceF172f5449057ef36B1f4A4D211caF4Ea5
Tx: 0x00390006ac13f555541d32ff4bedc401fd39771903ec888cef49cea46c5045be
1,155.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001759a542E45ec8045aB5dA6CB3a2F1B11B7D60
Tx: 0x002c0025ac9ff6bbc3e4fc3315738da29430a46188ec24f93fbb6dfee05f38e9
204.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
Tx: 0x004a001ebff0e8964db1ec95079d3a2aa985a954941c23c95ea9c0964c0d1096
219.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x00140022e629ec4bcdea4218c7d5d54165f6d3b771dc07f2745aed1f89fc4112
256.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x00040057ae17b5220bfe14081cdcab67f7e8101a3247baf4e8de4e891c39886d
105.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 2:19:14 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002736E210a59eF5Cd41c8dF464604364902e90D
Tx: 0x006500714bb422c7756b83188e46484c5bf72f23682fc3de3f2b6a1b53cc0c4b
