Spike bucket
08/19/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/19/2026, 12:10:00 A.M. to 08/19/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
57% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,625.39
Unexplained QUAI: 12,472.44
Explained QI: 1,030.17
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
23x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
29,097.83 QUAI
1,030.17 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00028C9c38797B49Ca9b86Ca3bAc121C8DF086b0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 29098 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00028C9c38797B49Ca9b86Ca3bAc121C8DF086b0.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/19/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
16,622.01 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00028C9c38797B49Ca9b86Ca3bAc121C8DF086b0
Net sender
Unknown type
14,998.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,030.18 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,030.18 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
Net sender
Unknown type
1,001.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 1,030.17 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 16,622.01 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
112 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:09:40 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,249.3 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:08:30 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
29,097.83 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:10:51 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
897,294.15 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:12:04 A.M.
-3 min
19 tx
3,314.43 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:07:19 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:13:16 A.M.
-4 min
52 tx
2,244.36 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:06:08 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,249.52 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/19/2026, 12:14:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,998.96 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:11 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00028C9c38797B49Ca9b86Ca3bAc121C8DF086b0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
105.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:32 A.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074004d810580b6a9817a445d40bfc7573035230d7bee8e3051bc5bedd04f76
104.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:32 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061003a9d78905d8839bec9794d97602057a306ca04f436ab89935d988d7371
104.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:32 A.M.
From: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0029002b662ddc303507ca8f6ecbd88a77db7bc6b3a2347f6e9517efa9ea3f94
1,001.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:11 A.M.
From: 0x0066576502756529a099B03CccD89Dc7043B74E2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630030e7e4ad85e1cb15861063015fe08cc327b624f278db6097bf9e553302
105.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:11 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062007d709b18bc08c9f4bea0b9aba7c2925d81f0484dc824fb036cca821a53
201.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:11 A.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00590062be5b53c6154d38ddd800782ce0752e2cf7470d3771a21148a4460eb0
14,998.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:11 A.M.
From: 0x00028C9c38797B49Ca9b86Ca3bAc121C8DF086b0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0037367fca8eb8d89b153b74e001aa4924ead0ffa8119e0f70bffdb7eb56
3.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:09 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x00300028de8228457485e09a7a7c6edaecf367453ebeabed2ea84905d4535727
515.13 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:08 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00220035064a3fae2abe7fba5bf418a5e959acd421cf52153f5de685aac2298b
515.04 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/19/2026, 12:10:04 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003e003c4909fdb0e7036568b02d6abd7aa34e2a3204cb780fc471a06cb30fd0