Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 11:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 11:23:00 P.M. to 08/18/2026, 11:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 67.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
6.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
67.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 68 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 11:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
67.8 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
34.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000b9FE3FE6a0DFABDB42095C1dc3a359F13A0E6
Net sender
Unknown type
27.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Net sender
Unknown type
4.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
Net sender
Unknown type
1.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:22:26 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
67.8 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:23:37 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:21:14 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
14.83 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:24:47 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:20:04 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:25:58 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:18:53 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:27:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
34.57 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:23:24 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a0052602fd6518ed58157e8a51611c0e10c8d8166f34b2fa58e1fc2c6fbdf
27.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x000b9FE3FE6a0DFABDB42095C1dc3a359F13A0E6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00560078444fe42cce82383f2d29da6010b6e5cf346410d047e5870e9b858d11
34.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0012002c87bead4df258e9ef245129c7c359dc5b195a4a8a9a1bdaa12b89bc22
4.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:23:24 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f00200e2378497e2d17da02f6c6071543537d0d967baafb0874005f3c7152