Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 10:58:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 10:58:00 P.M. to 08/18/2026, 10:59:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 36,213.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 364.83
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
364.83 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 10:58:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,060.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
17,288.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00048382ed2c81d02e19FF5bCd040A10FF8f5963
Net sender
Unknown type
17,152.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a32c068481f39AcDfdA2F20763083381345AC
Net receiver
Unknown type
17,152.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003657D22dc083791d59b39B64064a335305a43B
Net sender
Unknown type
1,772.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,060.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 10:57:34 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 10:58:44 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/18/2026, 10:56:22 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
36,213.93 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/18/2026, 10:59:55 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2.75 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/18/2026, 10:55:11 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
34,303.17 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:02:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
17,288.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 10:58:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
17,152.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 10:58:48 P.M.
From: 0x00048382ed2c81d02e19FF5bCd040A10FF8f5963
To: 0x002a32c068481f39AcDfdA2F20763083381345AC
Tx: 0x001100441e79f3cb596fea2878b936ef660afa519a804d39fb2ed9a355d87e99
17,288.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 10:58:48 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00190056f8ac71e8bbcf10ec4ba97e94db104b484afdf92b8f8adc824c7d7d0c
1,772.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 10:58:48 P.M.
From: 0x003657D22dc083791d59b39B64064a335305a43B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079004814912f87420e30e5142ab30d077d8da2edf8dd14c9ce20f4472dec90
364.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 10:58:13 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003600482848021c96c86fe7c85bd507fc9ab20765eb5aaf4d75f100cc4e358e
