Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 8:13:00 P.M. to 08/18/2026, 8:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,873.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1,246.85
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
0 QUAI
1,246.85 QI
Avg confidence
74.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002d785A88fA9d6978e16B52286b03bD1FdaC7Ab • 0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002d785A88fA9d6978e16B52286b03bD1FdaC7Ab • 0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002d785A88fA9d6978e16B52286b03bD1FdaC7Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
4,865.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,865.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,246.86 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
724.16 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
522.69 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 724.16 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:13:13 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:12:02 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
4,873.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:14:24 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:10:52 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
12.64 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:09:41 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:15:35 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,100.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:08:30 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:16:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,865.46 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:13:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d785A88fA9d6978e16B52286b03bD1FdaC7Ab
To: 0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
522.69 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0079004898dcbcd938c97353e10b91c857205dc1ece49a5b70d8d2491cd20e13
348.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00770060bb30962858b3f2e681fa721023a2fa6be65eeb0d0fcb6affe7646f1a
375.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:13:24 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0021003d00ad4e85a08e850639c8a9b7f6724546067318e21fcff107d77d0f3d
4,865.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:13:21 P.M.
From: 0x002d785A88fA9d6978e16B52286b03bD1FdaC7Ab
To: 0x00342714c42eB178bD751f3b7CB3f7b7D89EE099
Tx: 0x005700419212ad3441cadfa848c6154e24eca2b27b063569e4852da059936d89
2.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005900431ba98bd4f7852e622366f9df7b6b49e41f29652397a6d7ac6e26e838
2.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x00051a801E6E9293A8A2d978a80A45AA231a6A8e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e001c8c972ab11b3ea228a6c3125137d07f657c60c0d35e37f9ded212ca2d
2.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:13:11 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e000939eea4c658550478718e50f79187e90471c68eefe5c0603f0b483843