Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 8:06:00 P.M. to 08/18/2026, 8:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
61% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 508.76
Unexplained QUAI: 329.15
Explained QI: 1,813.01
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
18
34.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
63
Asset volume
837.92 QUAI
1,813.01 QI
Avg confidence
70.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 838 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (39% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,813.01 QI across 5 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,101.07 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
525.11 QI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
508.76 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x001D2E1D69dA8092Ad3Cb1E001dE98F7067D074D
Net receiver
Unknown type
186.83 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 1,101.07 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
52 tx
837.92 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:06:06 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:04:55 P.M.
+1 min
19 tx
508.76 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:07:18 P.M.
-2 min
55 tx
1,208.78 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:03:44 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:02:34 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,100.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:08:30 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
12.64 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:09:41 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
19,999 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 8:01:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
525.1 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:28 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
377.14 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005300611c72d15e91f5b4c83bab6089f11ae2d4cd3eefd6ad27b833d239e588
3.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002f7E58C73F4bF8B26DB158bA2f48735C876023
Tx: 0x00760078aa6aa4afd731ffdb71e998fb38c3080a70a31e5caf979f077a080d8e
4.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x007800259cac94d62890288bddca8636ef8059bf11fd4d74fdf1670752bfda3a
6.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x002c0070bf2424a3f106cf0834f039ac9bb467946147eec2b901941295730970
125.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00610007349f28f4e6514dd997c5147d4c2926f2ba75a79069b67ef969a38aa9
51.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x005e004891a1519c7911f02b418dee651a32c32ef578158267e1edcfd51b1b32
103.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0023eAc773493A9fbE483A67BE952d205CB89c64
Tx: 0x002b00208eb99668801aff00649bdc6bf0880053d6cbc0bb19990f48755bcb0f
5.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007927F508440032Db37A5f7c1e653d9917B429B
Tx: 0x0033005d85c589c2027e842f52eb929ff0db40089b3fcaac1594ea89b6b6349f
144.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x006000186e69291e3069eaee80d787ea3dca87d22a1b49ad64662c5f78b8d949
5.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x0070005781791ec781ecc68375e2cf0e609aa6cf58abca08fb7b0017b2d8fe30
9.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0039003c5e65cc0433051de1d9f9329dc51c338c5f89b11f8ae67911e596a9d3
39.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x000d003b843688837c242e777c4b765ffa27485163e058f4d9be49d8e73ab12a
5.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003bbCc29471E647B17434D683F1386810765f4c
Tx: 0x000f006e385fc8a9dcc2cb04cb8a44a311fbb3304bf0cdadab91d36edbd68b1d
4.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
Tx: 0x00460000fd053e2a624f522952b0fe7c5c37b7d90e219f4bbbc27ca60b80c0b7
525.1 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0023003b667b088cfe1a272ca294d635927191cb12b868fe849403a374ba870d
350.07 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0034002ec45b09dc8492d5063b81928f0108b77e803ee1cd67ba38cbf3fbe6a4
373.85 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:07 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0006003e18f80196d8b50ee5e4d20cc4dbd6435fb9d1b3e11e664ed37fecbc5f
186.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 8:06:07 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001D2E1D69dA8092Ad3Cb1E001dE98F7067D074D
Tx: 0x001a0036994ced98bd7be8e4ef6e1c1771245001be31cfb51d0a807dbe10af08
