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Spike bucket

08/18/2026, 6:25:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/18/2026, 6:25:00 P.M. to 08/18/2026, 6:26:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 13,589.35

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 773.52

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 10% of explained volume

Relative context

5.2x above local average

14x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

96.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

13,589.35 QUAI

773.52 QI

Avg confidence

64.2%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x002A46e6C4972a4aD7eEa5078641D04802A6BbE2.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 13589 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x002A46e6C4972a4aD7eEa5078641D04802A6BbE2.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 27 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 08/18/2026, 6:25:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 27 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

13,589.35 QUAI across 25 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002A46e6C4972a4aD7eEa5078641D04802A6BbE2

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,345.96 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x001Ca6E57B29399995673dEa29ecCCa67FA006eB

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,147.25 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005321365b4D638f696F96Ea8de1d44843c1BA8f

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,130.27 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006193D0A2D7D8D68eB1f365C6e86c5981223f05

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,066.36 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 773.52 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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27 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 28. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.