Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 4:10:00 P.M. to 08/18/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2.47
Unexplained QUAI: 12.96
Explained QI: 573.33
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
6.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
2
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
15.43 QUAI
573.33 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 15 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
573.34 QI across 1 visible row
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
573.34 QI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
15.43 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:10:11 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2.47 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:11:22 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
217.81 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:07:49 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:06:38 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:12:34 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
263.32 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:13:44 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,484.83 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:05:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
573.33 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:10:45 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:10:46 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x007b003552480c3b4c8edc17da0294805d725965b831883fdea31ced1dbf7123
573.33 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:10:45 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x002b006898f1fdc7de855bcc692092ea9ea1f01f799d4e0aa30de04d66e07619