Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 08/18/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 183,479.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 769.8
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
183,479.19 QUAI
769.8 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 183479 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
183,479.19 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
59,996.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Net sender
Unknown type
49,498.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00052106c220f2Fcd40d8ee8C4478673C1E05522
Net sender
Unknown type
26,577.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net sender
Unknown type
24,607.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 769.8 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 183,479.19 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:20:23 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
183,479.19 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:21:34 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:19:12 P.M.
+2 min
22 tx
112,428.04 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:22:46 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:17:59 P.M.
+3 min
24 tx
23,368.93 QUAI • 40 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:23:58 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:16:49 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:25:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
59,996.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
384.86 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:21:42 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0042005472b0ff5411bab9fec613f0037f9335f4cfd86df5714173865be88286
384.94 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:21:29 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00220037b0c3004d71e994e4c5eee909af0837659873d2ef3fdc31e6783115b0
24,607.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
From: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002000116ce04de474c94ef6b60dc3ca13ede92143ee66d2f0ccdfa6c4e3743c
59,996.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d00013dec875551378d98f6518a99cd1fe34d2b3403b10b4ab80fb74aa4e6
26,577.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
From: 0x00052106c220f2Fcd40d8ee8C4478673C1E05522
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0016d142bf907528bee5b77c1f9e1884b43eea92cb81241b86e39db5db74
49,498.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
From: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006700166556882ddee54f2a814bb67b2c358c531ec5b84e8bf43f79ee23adde
22,798.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:21:27 P.M.
From: 0x0075e6982d5eAdfb064ad5e087597711Aae238eF
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d00600b89d41d0a1a0c5d7f897ad224266b4b4298e9e4d99a3685a87df866