Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 12:37:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 12:37:00 P.M. to 08/18/2026, 12:38:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,456.86
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 575.3
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
5.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
7,456.86 QUAI
575.3 QI
Avg confidence
75.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7457 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 12:37:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,454.19 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,998.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,361.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,093.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
581.31 QI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 6 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,454.19 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 12:36:50 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
1,500 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/18/2026, 12:35:40 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
7,456.86 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/18/2026, 12:38:02 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 12:39:15 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 12:40:28 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate11 tx
9,983.09 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 12:33:20 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 12:32:09 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/18/2026, 12:41:38 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,998.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
575.3 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x004e00745344dc3644004da71d2eeafad555107d116207e9a55573cb74f04a08
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0000005ef1c2971b1f2dbfe8b47fb153f2b2b33c2b526d91ade622700585da73
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007b000c46653d0cf273a4301a1bc8ff394437799509105a0c9c35b2f8865060
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006900117a5dff3cba14d864a7663c798f02ac27bb7f0459584d04b7533573dd
1,093.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:47 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065003c65f0585dc3f83a39e851a3cc353735020a2e2f5b21b60c6bf30ccc57
1,361.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:47 P.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0068606702a6d751105d70e84609a00b82cac6105eb3079007c50e920558
4,998.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:47 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00740004fce8908fa8a56504ca0c21d93803e82a4cd6c8afbecbe6ba84559c02
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:47 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x0039006eb7ecd752e03e2203dadae2e7cea4c0763526e56af59f2cac5f291116
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 12:37:47 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: StratumX miner
0x00215254D1dDdd5D90671bA981688197A2735c1f
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00200048ec0ea278cfe13f21c30765a0e985e0280233efd95fc832b20cacf683