Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 11:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 11:42:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 11:43:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
94% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,650
Unexplained QUAI: 1,034.59
Explained QI: 1,436.82
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
1.7x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
16,684.59 QUAI
1,436.82 QI
Avg confidence
86.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007b538b8AD0E2B2e81F9337eC4de249226FAC38 • 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 16685 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007b538b8AD0E2B2e81F9337eC4de249226FAC38 • 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 11:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007b538b8AD0E2B2e81F9337eC4de249226FAC38
Net sender
Unknown type
15,650 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,650 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,436.82 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,077.63 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
359.19 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 1,077.63 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
16,684.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:42:21 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
9,587.65 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:41:10 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:39:59 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
15,650 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:43:32 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:38:48 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:44:43 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:37:37 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/18/2026, 11:45:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,650 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:42:51 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007b538b8AD0E2B2e81F9337eC4de249226FAC38
To: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
15,650 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:42:51 A.M.
From: 0x007b538b8AD0E2B2e81F9337eC4de249226FAC38
To: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
Tx: 0x004d0016e7ceeca753a2c8f441a9b2628a640a1082c3c6fdc61b80415d68bbaf
359.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:42:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x00260065757448df124eeb71194b2962d1cf6385423d10774888a4ba8140243f
359.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:42:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002e0027b3c5b387575ed29e75803717eed0b661f5655810ad969ee4a4705b59
359.22 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:42:25 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00760079b185b42bfc47222cf691707d2e1eac5044be423074479db1396af6a3
359.22 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 11:42:25 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005c001b2c872ad7eb75e0418cd040bf9880933238bf99acabea16e416cc84bb