Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 9:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 9:12:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 9:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,016.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1,120.29
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
6.2x above local average
4.3x previous minute
589x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
10,000 QUAI
1,120.29 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9 • 0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10000 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9 • 0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 9:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,120.29 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
746.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
373.49 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 746.8 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
10,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 9:12:27 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
2,339.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/18/2026, 9:11:16 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
14.29 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 9:10:05 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
16.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 9:13:38 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/18/2026, 9:08:54 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
2.53 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/18/2026, 9:14:49 A.M.
-4 min
16 tx
432.81 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 9:07:43 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 9:16:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9
To: 0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
373.32 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:58 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000a006f66bb7d42d6e1639191bf093281cc3f3fecf3831713927f7adf01501d
4.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:54 A.M.
From: 0x00233D0676F3f67302cffF9D9aB9291Eb3dc7883
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0066001bfa337a81619b0f217da2b60c3146b115a87ea00b01c84db011ea2af1
5.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:54 A.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00340005fa24798414d73581e803a4da80b15be81a65339091d5042637075f92
2.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:54 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001e00371774e4d8166a7e3eac5d597f2ad466b2ba4f3979dd0d73f66979598a
1.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:54 A.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00270003a65b48ee6b67ebef331564c82f8d68196998cd67dd984eb520feae2a
2.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:54 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a004f446920d32a22b41263f0fdf293fd94f4378d92d22240bafa2091a000
373.47 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006e0025a8e7d7342f3ae0d9dcd9b1e3f39e3230dd10020db449079631178907
373.49 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0049007ddc9fc2c214056e0d9c98f7b9fd7d7ad4783418bc3e611bce3a9abea7
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 9:12:07 A.M.
From: 0x00413C934ab6ab2B1BA09702c8955D507e30D6c9
To: 0x004Fabbc4Df81D8236c50Bf478Eb2d6a469858A2
Tx: 0x0021002c342bff0173dbf9a3d3661133f4a3f2de8055cc018093e18ad5b6279e