Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 6:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 6:31:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 6:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,402.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 351.41
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
9
81.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
7,402.97 QUAI
351.41 QI
Avg confidence
65.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002339338afB687a8141a968A1cf7CC6d0642eaC.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 7403 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002339338afB687a8141a968A1cf7CC6d0642eaC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 6:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,402.97 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002339338afB687a8141a968A1cf7CC6d0642eaC
Net sender
Unknown type
1,661.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,490.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
1,126.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
Net sender
Unknown type
779.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,402.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:30:49 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:29:38 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
7,402.97 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:31:59 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
6.57 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:33:11 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:28:28 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:34:21 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,491.7 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:27:17 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate33 tx
27,911.44 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:26:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,661.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002339338afB687a8141a968A1cf7CC6d0642eaC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
406.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
From: 0x0024C3E97040ec73c8B2b4c6129f7443dA177214
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f00670009111f9df3009987b45167827e2d03d921fa5133eec16f9d19d60b
1,126.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035000aeb4e165dd6ed1bb8ce21f1b6c72cc4412ff69703c34cb92562201481
663.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e00490da2ff97c16d067a04b1d2355f7006e21e28d5717e54eb7fddfc177c
612.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
From: 0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b005660fa59d16a5cdfcdf0865f513fb3ab5956328471b96133557061032a
779.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
From: 0x005a045F7bB830cf070c47a1A5F9b7d95D43f304
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025003040c39dca551b2d928a2ee6c9ac4daea0aa49d314c03e642de8c3bd27
663.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
From: 0x0010DbbFb928684a207E98e4EAf8037BA0217053
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a000fb7ff678237a7ec1674b0641a7e915316ec764c0563813e1a35ab9f87
1,490.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f0011a0cd47518a83c4d704141db9fbd840334e5b0960bfc1224423d5f096
1,661.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:54 A.M.
From: 0x002339338afB687a8141a968A1cf7CC6d0642eaC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a00608ccb4e629e01839b2c8fae96be030524ef13db1758179a49d48049a7
351.41 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:31:26 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0036000e108b35ad92a72c2e888fb6518ed012ac6ccdbf337cbf57a161de801d