Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 6:14:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 6:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
62% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,024.85
Unexplained QUAI: 622.95
Explained QI: 637.46
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,647.8 QUAI
637.46 QI
Avg confidence
74.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1648 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,024.85 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
639.47 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
Net sender
Unknown type
618.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
320.73 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
318.73 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 318.73 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,024.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate7 tx
1,647.8 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:14:16 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:13:05 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:15:28 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
5.15 QUAI • 4 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:11:55 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:10:45 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:16:38 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:09:34 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/18/2026, 6:17:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
618.77 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:14:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
318.73 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:14:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x00170001fe8ace9a370aff3eac442994805b0dc7ca01e4bae1c13631d035bec7
318.73 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:14:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000d007f701228624bedf075ba14a840faf70e70c18083300f527a86b9a9e174
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:14:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00370024a04ef6ba5ec0e57cb58c17aa8aa98fad9fdd4449ef3545ee70adc52f
150.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x0071c9bf8e3775F5ac9afA35F391b2878A55c809
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007200169af99588c936d7b3249d4a7bd5dbfa70336e9626993db6ae08d36bc2
618.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x00003b1b3260a6d71935e7854e44f0D6F828A53e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003600745053bdea3601edbe593ed4f6e8c38b69b01a2e3a78f155705c98c652
139.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a0038145edd96e367b82d499f840ae757cedb3339f9b7197f08a312a07ba9
116.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 6:14:02 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b0045d1e77db8a0b4c17c52059b51c334dadab0ac2fe3312bbcfe56f83f55