Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 4:28:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 4:28:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 4:29:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,391.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 607.86
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 86% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
0 QUAI
607.86 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 4:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,391.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net sender
Unknown type
3,797.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
609.86 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0041650332D399883bf853de8Cc11D2516F5D47e
Net sender
Unknown type
593.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
305.93 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 303.93 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,391.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:28:11 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
595 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:27:00 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
4,391.97 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:29:23 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3,799 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:25:50 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:24:40 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:30:33 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
47.74 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:31:44 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:23:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,797.98 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:28:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
593.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:28:58 A.M.
From: 0x0041650332D399883bf853de8Cc11D2516F5D47e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050001be13a1370480665524eda81f4f50b57f9547aae42d68adfca9b34a77e
3,797.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:28:58 A.M.
From: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b001b1a5b0e5c95890a77ceef90e8448f83e0431681ace62ac7c0037990a1
303.93 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:28:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0072005225b580eb4c861d97605be8696bc1f1fd353065144d6460783b199c98
303.93 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:28:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003900507ef868a9e3829ad3b83cfe4c2f9b566bf52a9abf2ccbb9fa84cab16c
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:28:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00440022a20db26b52a157f7b633d212de73f21938fd89e6ed7670548a61858b