Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 4:11:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 4:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 778.48
Unexplained QUAI: 974.79
Explained QI: 661.99
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
6.1x above local average
181x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
9
56.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
1,753.28 QUAI
661.99 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1753 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
778.48 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
662 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
662 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
141.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
113.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 661.99 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 778.48 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate16 tx
1,753.28 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:11:43 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
9.7 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:09:21 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
3.37 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:12:54 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:08:11 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:14:04 A.M.
-4 min
19 tx
522.13 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:06:58 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/18/2026, 4:15:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
331.03 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:02 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
330.95 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:27 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0043006abb75423f90d2b8a51de9a60f4ab0c53f73cb67d8b2b39fe3391e896f
108.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:22 A.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00360069696ce4624397712301aa95a93cdbfbea216050a98da22fb505275da2
105.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:22 A.M.
From: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064002032fff50cf5e5f223bfa4020dd92fb1e9890af20d514d451f7992de27
113.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:22 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0002005149c0cf2efac5958e985b0a271eec069051d22f95d7b6d712b80b2215
107.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:22 A.M.
From: 0x00328109A23E368e65569034d3143E68eF99f8eD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f0065eca762a52882b4b1fc7bbfa4e66bbc8c2e1296cfa954197194d67b01
141.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:22 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006200317efc38c8bde62f1ef752a30498fbec88c6bc5235c9169de002d7a24b
99.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:10 A.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630038e209234be505d9fc21c7c9fc42857a09c8847ba7f960bf3923b37bbd
101.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:10 A.M.
From: 0x0052Fef2D3E58C9b0543Ba9438D98a8AE5cC723E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0056005098ceee9514e9453e661b5d59ecbe3865aed2c2595d39c92fecda6b18
331.03 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 4:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0032006a1a698aede8239527b859e86570775a608ab1247c360247df9a39fa20