Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 3:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 3:11:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 3:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
98% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 680.88
Unexplained QUAI: 12.55
Explained QI: 906.36
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
9.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
693.43 QUAI
906.36 QI
Avg confidence
72.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 693 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 3:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
908.36 QI across 4 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
680.88 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
616.8 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
Net sender
Unknown type
509.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
291.56 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 614.8 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
7 tx
76.19 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:10:25 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
693.43 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:11:35 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
16.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:09:15 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:12:46 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate10 tx
20,673.91 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:08:03 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:13:56 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:06:53 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
509.29 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
291.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:57 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0064000f5fa0dad4be4a0603bdbd52c9a104701a3ff07570fe2bad3cf61f3792
291.55 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:57 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0069005856e02d1efaf6f6f9e7de5aa1ea9def154c9afcff147c7026e4ef87cb
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:57 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0079003af6a95abcdf41fd715dddf15e75d2947c17192d4f65005980be142033
153.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:28 A.M.
From: 0x00782f61dC8c6030a482E813E04E940F4c602f33
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a0059eed070c2afc6879e477f0bafb0b61f0f504ee2e65301bc862cf615dc
323.24 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:20 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0066002bad3d1fd0bf2152823463d4d94d1898c14acaac13169a6dab97f346c5
3.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0035004d622450c6c63ca38df24d1ed6a3ae2d4e72d45e5fba3cb58a082cd3f0
3.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0007004beaed567b41f20686b36d0a2bd760c66656d2fafac0b569b78d918dda
3.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001600632e728330bc8c978f6482ad3116c967213b94c2526b19da31b2dced2b
509.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0072000b7ec8501a01cfbbe26a31a8d936a91a05c218806ad4f6d361fea1f130
2.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0053000a47640df00de291667c1efefc8a619f1fdda58b90dd9115126983ee75
5.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:11:02 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0058002f12d052e2629d2775268104f5c902dacdad756059e73c315e6dc5b80d