Spike bucket
08/18/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/18/2026, 3:07:00 A.M. to 08/18/2026, 3:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,673.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 904.09
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
10x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
20,673.91 QUAI
904.09 QI
Avg confidence
74.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20674 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/18/2026, 3:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,673.91 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
904.1 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
613.29 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
468.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 613.29 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,673.91 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:06:53 A.M.
-1 min
58 tx
1,971.24 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:05:43 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
20,673.91 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:08:03 A.M.
-2 min
53 tx
4,583.68 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:04:32 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
16.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:09:15 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
76.19 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:10:25 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:03:20 A.M.
-5 min
16 tx
8,890.18 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/18/2026, 3:02:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.08 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:07:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
322.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:07:53 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001f0073b44fa653bb3eec5d00646f77f302782080c5d952a4e968379d689008
99.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:07:33 A.M.
From: 0x0044f3FE88FFF1B42B4CAF8000F086B0FaF4958F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110013130f4cc7a3744cdbfb0af13728eef25cf8c2404c540b1a8452693b87
468.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:07:33 A.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f007170dcd483eb067f5bc4b29a808c2532641ceac8246cb26870c183fa89
19,998.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:07:33 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0045609c3a39fee0bdc58e3f2c62d32a6a3e1c1bc2c9aa1fa2d1a0a06136
107.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:07:33 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001100588f5cc1af46906d67673d45e06c02bf8aea008a779d74434358184553
290.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:07:18 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Tx: 0x0076000379e1e897008c06724d3d77869264d3087f139bff2824dd1e2ed8d616
290.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/18/2026, 3:07:18 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0022001593e7c8df1874df6d47f006e405eff9c752a4ac4bfddd9ebb67e73409